fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. [00:00:19] Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. 2,. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. 450 episodes. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? 3 min read. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. 01:00 PM. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. 266, the . But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. heritage commons university of utah. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! This is the first episode. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Whereas Tester . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Edit your transcribed text. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Join. Saturday, February 25, 2023. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. send a tweet. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. The data behind that evolution is striking. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Happy holidays! They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Dive in and Share your insights! Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. A message from Martine. You can't imitate a worldview. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Thanks! How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics.