New York's state income tax is up to 10.9 percent while states like Florida and Texas don't have a state income tax. Rush VOA Variance Schedule; BUF Fantasy. . Gardner-Johnson are culture-changing safeties who could lead a secondary. According to Over the Cap, the Packers could create $41.2 million in cap space through simple restructures, but those can come at the cost of future cap flexibility. Patrick Mahomes. However, if they re-sign him, it's $2.3 million this year and $4.6 million next year. Developed by Daren Willman. Do you have a sports website? If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Sign Up Now His ability to play as a traditional safety or a slot corner came in handy when Avonte Maddox went down with an injury and he was forced to play in his stead. Having met Tom Kennedy during the FanDuel Scottish Open, the two decided to take on the realm of fantasy content along with co-founder Eddie Lai. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. The opportunity to be part of a young and developing defense with the Lions after their successful 2022 campaign could make sense. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. They were fourth in the league in pressure percentage with Travon Walker and Josh Allen forming a formidable young duo on the edge. These statistics provide a detailed view of how a RB accumulates Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. They drafted Devin Bush Jr. with a top-10 pick and signed Myles Jack last year. Stat Format. Top 10 returning running backs in college football for the 2023 season College Michigan's Blake Corum headlines the top 10 returning running backs in college football for the 2023 season. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. The Next Gen Stats analytics team reveals its ranking of the 10 best edge rushers entering Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season, with the Browns' Myles Garrett leading a list of star defenders. Home Realizacje i porady Bez kategorii nfl advanced rushing stats. The best data comes from neutral game-script scenarios, which can be extrapolated into overall team tendencies. Rock the Stokastic Avatar on DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo and Win Platinum! He averaged 5.6 yards per rushing attempt and had a team-high 10 rushing touchdowns in 2022. The Next Gen Stats analytics team uses its newly launched Expected Return Yards model to identify the top 10 returners of the 2022 regular season. We are not a gaming platform, we do not offer or accept real money games. 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018. Developing Jeremy Chinn as a hybrid linebacker-safety and giving Jaycee Horn room to go should be priorities and Poyer can help elevate that defense. FT aims to use advanced football data, current and future skill level as well as contract length and other details to create our . Unlike Cook, McIntosh won't be a second-round pick but will provide similar value to an NFL team. Rushing Attempts: Rush Yds: Rushing Yards: Rush TD: Rushing Touchdowns: Rec: Receptions: Rec Yds: Receiving Yards: . He has a clear-cut role in which he has excelled in. Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips is a promising pass-rushing duo. This offseason, we replicated the neural network modeling architecture built for handoffs and trained it on quarterback run plays using the AWS SageMaker platform with the help of our new quarterback dropback classification model (which we'll discuss later in this article). News, scores, and statistics for your favorite teams and players throughout the 2022 season. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. All rights reserved. Dexter Lawrence is another double-team magnet on the inside in New York. . Basic Stats Advanced Stats Red Zone Stats Fantasy Stats. The Next Gen Stats analytics team identifies 14 unheralded players who should be kept off the free agency market by their squads. Sign In Register For Free. Get 50% off your first week or month with promo code SCORE. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. See where they land in the Next Gen Stats analytics team's ranking of the top 10 most explosive rushers right now. Lamar Jackson reached a top speed of 20.52 MPH on this 48-yard TD run, the 7th-fastest speed by a quarterback this season.Jackson is responsible for 3 of the fastest 7 plays by a QB this season (21.01 MPH top speed).#BALvsTEN | #Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/0G7YGVQGp7. This way I could analyze how often NFL teams rush or pass the ball . Alex creates his own projections for each sport he plays, publishing rankings derived directly from them updated for each major slate. To view standard stats, check out our NFL Stat Leaders page. The data for each week can help determine how big changes like a QB switch impact the teams pace. His 19 percent pass-rush win rate in 2021 yielded 7.5 sacks. 1. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. The top three plays of the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016) based on the new Big Play Score: Kyler Murray-DeAndre Hopkins 43-yard game-winning TD Speed at Throw: 11.66 MPH Air Distance: 51.7 yards Defenders within 1.5 yards: 3#BUFvsAZ | Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/liLsAmgezf. 38% completion rate when pressured, which ranked 79th among qualifying passers. Uchenna Nwosu and Darrell Taylor combined for 19 sacks while Quinton Jefferson had 5.5 as an interior rusher. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Formula 1 Bahrain GP DFS Picks for DraftKings: Red Bull Locks Out Front Row, Best NBA Player Props: Giannis Antetokounmpo to Come Up Short on the Glass? The Pittsburgh Steelers have been looking to add that kind of athletic inside linebacker for years. So how does the Next Gen Stats Expected Fantasy Points metric work? Keegan Abdoo investigates this strength -- and whether it will give Philadelphia an edge over the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. The safety went on to note his friendship with Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. You must be logged in and create a league profile to apply custom fantasy scoring to the stats, projections and rankings pages. Or write about sports? Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 22 of the 2022 season. Knowing team tendencies is critical to success in fantasy football, but it can be confusing looking at box scores and trying to draw conclusions about team tendencies without really digging into the details about how the game flow went. Does he roll out of the pocket? Advanced stats are updated the Wednesday following the week's games. receiving yards along with his target opportunities. Note: You are reading this message either because you do not have a standards-compliant browser, or because you can not see our css files. The Next Gen Stats toolbox is growing. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Why Not Rates for Everything? If David wants to chase another ring or get a bigger payday, then a team like the Miami Dolphins makes a lot of sense. Last Updated December 27, 2022, 7:11 AM PST. NFL practice squad tracker: Team-by-team roster signings ahead of the 2021 season, Eleven best members of the 2011 rookie class heading into 2021, Saints at Vikings; Jan. 14, 2018 (Divisional Round playoff game), Whether the quarterback took the path of a, Whether a quarterback run was a result of a. Team Total DVOA Prev. Can Carolina risk letting other teams chase after him? Who has the edge? Advanced stats offer insight into a Running Back's performance beyond the. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Next Gen Stats maven Mike Band crunches the numbers on seven crucial Super Bowl LVII matchups. Advanced stats are updated the Wednesday following the week's games. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? The model produces a full probability distribution of outcomes in terms of yards gained, which allows us to also derive the likelihood the ball-carrier gains a first down or scores a touchdown. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023-24 NFL section (probably late May), register for a free account . Statistics Football Team & Player Statistics. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Javon Hargrave has long been one of the best pass-rushing defensive tackles in the league. To create the Stokastic NFL Projections, we take into account the matchup and account for likely game scripts and add back in the plays that are disregarded in the creation of the neutral game-script statistics. New Advanced Stat Makes Henry's 2019 Season Look Even Better. The Dolphins' high-octane offense has dominated opponents under Mike McDaniel. By combining several Next Gen Stats machine-learning models, the Next Gen Stats Big Play Score grades every play on a score from 0 to 100, driven by three primary components: Win Probability Effect is derived from our win probability model, while Points Added comes from our expected points model. These statistics provide a more detailed view of how a player has accumulated yards along with his opportunities in the rushing and receiving game. This stat shows as a percentage above or below average, with 0% representing league average. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. rushing yards along with his opportunities in the receiving game. Champions: Georgia (AP, CFP) Heisman Memorial Trophy: Bryce Young ( Alabama) Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year Award: Luke Fickell ( Cincinnati) AP Preseason #1: Alabama. PTS. Advanced stats are updated the Wednesday following the week's games. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Penalties and special teams plays aren't included in this metric. Best PrizePicks NFL Player Props for the Super Bowl: Another Marquez Valdes-Scantling Blowup? We present them here for purely educational purposes. You don't currently have any notifications. The Bills have been one of the top teams in the AFC during his time there and playing alongside Matt Milano has allowed him to shine while working on his coverage skills. View College Football stats, leaders & player statistics. He's an ironman who has played at least 900 snaps in all but two of his 11 seasons while delivering sideline-to-sideline range and good coverage skills. 2023 NFL combine: Top draft prospect workouts, risers, fastest 40s Time Period. The Raiders don't have that problem. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Models like Completion Probability, which tells you how likely it is that a pass will be completed, and Expected Rushing Yards, which predicts how many yards a rusher will gain on a run play, create analytical insights and add context to the game. Edmunds isn't quite on that level, but he could be the closest thing available as the new head coach looks to build his team. Fantasy. Ret. He's called it home for his entire NFL career so if finishing out his career there is important to him, it's the best landing spot. To view standard stats, check out our NFL Stat Leaders page The average column is the total percentage of plays that were rushing plays throughout the season. Jadeveon Clowney posted nine sacks in that role in 2021, but isn't likely to be back after registering only two in 2022. New defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen is coming over from the New Orleans Saints which played the second-highest rate of man coverage. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Not elite, but good, solid, and far from a liability. RYDS/G. What are advanced WR stats? Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. You are not logged in. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Advanced stats offer insight into a players performance beyond the standard box score. Advanced stats to know 57 tackles avoided per PFF, 39th-most among 81 qualifying rushers (with at least 150 carries). This is a metric developed by Football Outsiders that measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to the league average based on situation and opponent. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Passing. While most teams play quickly within the 2-minute warning or when playing catchup, theres a large range of pace between NFL teams in neutral game scripts. Will the Eagles' pass rush befuddle Patrick Mahomes? George Karlaftis could develop into a nice running mate too after notching six sacks as a rookie. 2020 CFB Rushing Stats 2022 CFB Rushing Stats. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! The NGS team is not done yet when it comes to unveiling new stats and features for the 2021 campaign. They were 18th in run defense, but gave up a passer rating of 95.7 (fourth-worst in the league). James Bradberry and Jamel Dean can be elite cover corners in the right context and scheme. BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! Players; . Advanced Rushing - NFL Stats | FTN Fantasy HQ NBAHQ PGAHQ MLBHQ NFLHQ OPTO Opto Opto Opto PICKS DK FD PrizePicks NBA Tool Mojo Odds Prop Shop Odds This feature is only available to FTN Daily Premium Members Only Sign up now and save 10% off instantly with code FTNWINS and you get access to top analysts, tools, picks and more! Advanced stats offer insight into a Wide Receiver's performance beyond the standard box score. The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 22 of the 2022 season. The Pats have had several elite cornerbacks in their system. Who's the more explosive ball-carrier, Justin Fields or Lamar Jackson? The Bucs lived in zone and played the second-highest rate of it in the league. They allowed a passer rating of 91.6, but they were 11th in zone usage. Here are a few insights from the 2020 season via the results of the new models: -- Quarterbacks averaged +0.12 expected points added (EPA) on designed rollout dropbacks compared with +0.02 on straight drops. 2019 NFL Advanced Rushing | Pro-Football-Reference.com via Sports Logos.net About logos 2019 NFL Advanced Rushing Previous Season Next Season Super Bowl Champion: Kansas City Chiefs AP MVP: Lamar Jackson AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Kyler Murray More league info 2019 NFL Season An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 22 of the 2022 season. But they do have an intriguing young crop of edge rushers. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo is a proven defensive mind who helped build a secondary that had the lowest passer rating allowed (80.1) in the league. * Selected to Pro Bowl, + First-Team All-Pro. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! Tyson Campbell is CB1 after finishing seventh in PFF grade among all corners. 2021 NFL season award predictions: Who'll win MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year? Expected Fantasy Points distills the value of those opportunities into a single metric that is even more actionable, especially given its scale is comparable across fantasy positions. Discover NFL team overall stats and rankings throughout the season. Stat Type. 2021 NFL season: Projecting win share leaders on offense, defense, Debrief: 22 biggest moves from NFL cut-down day. Advanced stats offer insight into a player's performance beyond the standard box score. Poyer noted on his podcast that he's open to a return to Buffalo but if it isn't he would prefer a place with a lower tax rate. Josh Allen. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. . 2022 NFL Advanced Stats Previous Season Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs AP MVP: Patrick Mahomes AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Garrett Wilson More league info 2022 NFL Season Passing Rushing Receiving Scrimmage Stats Defense Kicking Punting Kick & Punt Returns Defense Red Zone Rushing Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Millions in Winnings and Counting. AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Garrett Wilson, AP Defensive Rookie of the Year: Sauce Gardner, AP Offensive Player of the Year: Justin Jefferson, AP Defensive Player of the Year: Nick Bosa, Passing Leader: Patrick Mahomes, 5250 Yds, Receiving Leader: Justin Jefferson, 1809 Yds. They also have one of the best complimentary pass-rushers on the outside in Maxx Crosby. Login or Register. Will Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa make the Pro Bowl? To determine what plays qualify for neutral game script, we looked at ones where the score threshold and time left on the clock is within a close enough range to not change the teams optimal strategy. Advanced Wide Receiver Stats (2022) 2022 NFL Player Statistics - Weeks 1 to 18 What are advanced WR stats? Rushing Yards / Game Air Force. This offseason, the Next Gen Stats team has developed a new expected rushing yards model to account for quarterback runs.All plays now considered, which rushers gained the most RYOE since 2018? QB Lamar Jackson (+1,307) RB Derrick Henry (+971) RB Nick Chubb (+834) pic.twitter.com/XXVSSjxBbP. Last year, they spent a small fortune to bring in Chandler Jones. Growing his bankroll from 2015-2016, he made a big step in 2017 by claiming the #1 overall ranking on RotoGrinders for the year. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Fortunately for him, it's a thin class at one of the most important positions on defense. Is it a designed run? Jessie Bates III and C.J. These statistics provide a more detailed view of how a player has accumulated yards along with his opportunities in the rushing and receiving game. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. See how QBs perform across the NFL's key metrics. Lavonte David might be the best linebacker on the market for the 2023 season, but the long-term value lies with Tremaine Edmunds. Advanced Stats Glossary Justin Time for Redemption's Offense roster for week 17. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Do you have a sports website? A look at advanced rushing stats for every player that has a rushing attempt in the NFL. In a league featuring so much pass-catching talent, what's the pecking order at wide receiver right now? Join our linker program. Our pace statistics are measured in plays run per 30 minutes of possession in a neutral game script. -- 2020 pass EPA leaders by dropback type: Going deeper into the splits, using our new quarterback dropback logic, we can more accurately classify a play-call's intended play type. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. They have $46.3 million in cap space after parting ways with Derek Carr. Adding Hargrave to the mix could make them elite and allow Hargrave to continue seeing fewer double teams. He draws double teams all the time which would free up Davenport to see much bigger sack numbers in 2023. MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. This includes the fact that teams that are ahead in NFL games tend to rush at a higher rate and play at a slower pace. Davenport has struggled with injuries throughout his career but when he's healthy he checks off all the underlying metrics as a pass-rusher. For this analysis, I needed to see statistics about each team's rushing yards, passing yards, touchdowns, and win percentage. 154. Wink Martindale is one of the most aggressive defensive schemers in the league. View the 2022 FBS college football stats leaders in passing, rushing, receiving, kickoff returns, punt returns, punting, kicking and defense You can contact Alex by emailing [emailprotected]. The top plays of an NFL season are the ones worth watching again and again. In fantasy football, opportunity is king. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Do you have a blog? Signing with the Cleveland Browns comes with the added bonus of playing the Bengals twice a year, but they also have a lot of talented pieces on the defense like Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward with a defensive coordinator in Jim Schwartz who has a proven track record of putting together good defenses. Rise or fall LLC is not intended for those under the age of 18. Stats Standings Pro Bowl Games NFL Network Fantasy Tickets Travel Shop Sign In Player Stats Team Stats Next Gen Stats Player Search 2022 Player Stats - Category Rushing Passing. The Play Improbability factor is a more play-type specific, complex combination of completion probability, expected rushing yards, and expected yards after the catch. The reliance on zone schemes helped 32-year-old Patrick Peterson finish 12th in PFF grade. The obvious best fit for Hargrave is to remain with the Eagles. Whether you view Jamel Dean or James Bradberry as the top corner available likely depends on what you are looking for. 2. For NFL teams that struggled on defense last season, the 2023 NFL free agency class has some real solutions that should hit the market. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. 2023 NFL combine: Top draft prospect workouts, risers, fastest 40s All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Playing alongside an interior pass-rusher like Chris Jones makes life easier. The median FBS offense in 2020 (Georgia State) gained 5.66 yards per play, so anything better than that was above average. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images, Kyle Ross/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage . It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Find out more. We've built a model to classify quarterback dropback type in real time with the help of player-tracking data. Here's a breakdown of some of our new metrics to watch for this season: In 2020, we debuted Expected Rushing Yards, a metric based on the winning submission to the 2020 Big Data Bowl competition. With DeMeco Ryans taking over, they have a strong defensive mind who will look to build an elite defense. The average column is the total percentage of plays that were rushing plays throughout the season. We have more advanced metrics to be announced in the coming days, weeks and months. The Vikings pulled off the biggest comeback in NFL history last week, but the Next Gen Stats analytics team says it wasn't the most improbable comeback of the season. 53.8% completion rate was 94th out of 98 collegiate QBs with at least 250 pass attempts in 2022. Fantasy Football Stats; Advanced Player Metrics; Fantasy Football News; NFL Optimizer; . All rights reserved. Next Gen Stats powered by AWS is excited to present our latest series of advanced stats for the 2021 NFL season. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Non-Football Injury: NFI-A: Non-Football Injury (Active) NFI-R: Non-Football Injury (Reserve) O: Out: . The Lions are another young defense that could use Bradberry's services. Playing poker professionally from 2009-2015, he heard that daily fantasy was the next big game picking up steam, and he quickly saw the potential of the relatively new game. nfl advanced rushing stats . Year Rank Weighted DVOA Pass DVOA Rush DVOA Unadj. NFL's Next Gen Stats captures real time location data, speed and acceleration for every player, every play on every inch of the field. If the Eagles decide to change course, he could serve as a building block for the Houston Texans. Javon Hargrave is an elite interior pass rusher. Among the 51 NFL running backs with at least 100 total touches (rush attempts + receptions), Dallas Cowboys rookie running back Tony Pollard ranked first in PFF Elusive Rating at 116.1. -- Designed rollouts are run to the right side of the formation (most quarterbacks' strong side) more than twice as often (71%) as designed rollouts to the left (29%). . Do you have a sports website? In 2022, he boasted a pass-rush win rate of 17 percent but had 11 sacks flanked by Haason Reddick on the outside. Gardner-Johnson's versatility was an asset for the Eagles this season. However, they do have enough money ($66.7 million in cap space) to bring Bates into the fold and add more talent. Thanks for reading to the end of this article! Gambling problem? Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde have formed one of the best safety duos in the league for a while now, but it would appear that tandem is headed for a split. Poyer hits free agency with the Bills already set to pay Hyde $10.6 million in 2023. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? NFL analyst Adam Caplan was adamant on his Inside the Birds podcast that the Eagles, "will tag him if they don't think they can get a deal done.". 2 in our rankings. The Falcons don't figure to run a lot of zone. However, they are well over the cap ($18.7 million) and might not be willing to spend that much on another linebacker with Milano on the payroll. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. 2022 NFL season's most productive slot receivers: CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson and more NFL CeeDee Lamb recorded 867 receiving yards from the slot last season, the most among the league's wide receivers. 2. These statistics provide a detailed view of how a WR accumulates Since partnering with AWS in 2018,. Each of these players headlining the defensive class should have multiple suitors. Of course, staying in Buffalo is an ideal situation too. The team rushing percentage is simply the ratio of rushing plays to the sum of rushing and passing plays. All salary cap info via Spotrac and all advanced stats via Pro Football Reference unless otherwise noted. Rushing: More Stats First Downs/Carry Rushing TDs Yards/Carry Rushing First Downs Fumbles Lost Carries Big Rushes (> 10 yds) Longest Run Stuffed Stuffs/Carry Rushing Yards, 1st and 10 %First Down, Run on 3rd/Short %Touchdowns, Runs inside 3 %First Downs, Rushing on 4th & < 3yds %First Downs, Rushing, All 3rd Downs %Touchdowns . The Chiefs could use that kind of defender. Advanced Rushing. How will Patrick Mahomes' ankle injury factor into Sunday's AFC championship rematch between the Chiefs and Bengals? They also need to fix a run defense that allowed 4.7 yards per carry. According to PFF, he's top 20 in pass-rush win rate, pressure percentage and run-defense grade since he entered the league in 2018. View them for free when you sign up today. Philadelphia Eagles, 75% 3. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have become quite proficient at the QB sneak. The data for each week is also included to help make observations about recent trends. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Robinson approaches the 2023 NFL Draft after a successful junior season in 2022, which featured him logging a team-high 258 carries for 1,580 rushing yards (6.1 yards per carry) and 18 touchdowns . (March 4), NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Anthony Edwards Has Value (March 4), NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks: Giannis Antetokounmpo Leading the Pack (March 4), FanDuel Fantasy Basketball Cheat Sheet: NBA DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks | Fred VanVleet (March 4), No House Advantage NFL Optimal Lineups Page. Passing basics Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports We'll. As it becomes more common to see quarterbacks making plays with their legs, we can better quantify the impact these quarterback runs have with our expanded expected rushing yards model. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. This distinction will allow for more robust analysis of run-pass play-calling tendencies. Football is a sport where the optimal strategy for teams changes drastically throughout the game based on the score and the time left on the clock.