(Click on polling place for results). Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. Immediately below is the video of the event. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. Port Melbourne - at 13 February 2023. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. The Victorian redistribution in general will be fascinating. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. . I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. GRN 30,291. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Please enable scripts and reload this page. Filling vacancy: Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, Police chief vacancy: West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, City manager change: West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. 3. Occupation:Co-owner/operator at Chez Quans, Political/government/civic experience:None, Campaign email:adamformelbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:Facebook:Adam Woodworth for Melbourne 2022. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Second Issue: Economic development. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. This information is updated hourly. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. 0:03. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. Runoff from neighborhoods in the St. Johns watershed should go west, rather than being pumped to the lagoon. 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